All Analysts articles – Page 3
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Analysis & InsightGoodbody on The Restaurant Group
While Restaurant Group has faced a number of well documented challenges before the advent of the current coronavirus crisis took hold, including the oversupply of branded restaurant chains in the UK, cost inflation, high rents and struggling legacy brands, the closure of the sector for a quarter has presented a ...
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Analysis & InsightAnalysts’ verdict: Berenberg on City Pub Group
Berenberg finds City Pub Group’s fundraise has left the company with a “substantial level of liquidity” and a “best-in-class balance sheet”, which it could deploy on cut-price acquisitions.
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Analysis & InsightAnalysts’ verdict: Goodbody on the leisure shutdown
With the pubs and restaurants now closed the remainder of the leisure sector saw further restrictions last night with collection and delivery now also being impacted.
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Analysis & Insight
Goodbody on M&B, TRG, Marston’s
Mitchells & Butlers, Restaurant Group and Marston’s all seeing a significant impact from COVID-19
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Analysis & Insight
Morgan Stanley on M&B
Jamie Rollo of Morgan Stanley gives his verdict on Mitchells & Butlers’ latest update.
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Analysis & InsightBDO: ‘The contagion into a deep recession will happen very quickly’
Widescale job losses in the restaurant and bar industry will plunge the UK economy into a deep recession, BDO partner Peter Hemington has told MCA.
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Analysis & Insight
Goodbody on Domino’s Q4 update
We believe investors will begin to focus more keenly on the health of the core UK and ROI business given DOM’s decision to exit its International markets. For H219 we forecast +3.0% LFL sales growth ex-splits, and +1% incl splits, in the key UK division. At the Q3 stage UK LFL ex-splits was +3.0% (+1.4% incl splits) so we essentially expect a continuation of trends, although we would note the comp is more difficult in Q4 so the group will need a good finish to the year.
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Analysis & Insight
Goodbody on Mitchells & Butlers
Like for like sales growth for the first 14 weeks of the year to the 4th of January was +2.6% (versus our H1 expectation of c.2.2%) with food +3.0% and Drink +1.8%. Implies growth of +3.5% in the most recent 7 weeks (Food +4% & Drink +2.7%). Total sales growth for the 14 weeks is +2.6%. The festive period showed good LFL sales growth of +5.6% over the three weeks, with +6.5% growth across the 5 key festive days.
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Analysis & Insight
Goodbody on Coffer Peach
The Coffer Peach data for the key 6 week Christmas trading period was released this morning. Sector like for likes were up 2.5%. Both Pubs and Restaurants saw a good LFL trading performance with restaurants +2.3% and pubs +2.7%. Within this wet led pubs slightly outperformed food led. Total sales growth for the cohort was +5.4%. The tracker added a new data point for bars which saw strong growth of 3.9%. The director of Coffer Corp leisure noted that “there is a post election sense of optimism”.
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Analysis & Insight
Goodbody on Marston’s
Management were quite open at their FY results a few weeks ago that it was disappointed with FY19 trading and would be working hard to remedy it in FY20. It will be interesting to see if they can deliver better YoY growth this Christmas particularly given its comp is easier ...
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Analysis & InsightGoodbody on TRG
Restaurant Group will report a Q4 trading update in late January. At this point last year RTN gave full year LFL’s for the group and total sales. We forecast FY LFL sales growth of -0.8% in the Legacy business with LFL sales growth of 8.8% for Wagamama UK (implying a group FY LFL of just above 2%). As a reminder group LFL growth was +3.7% in the first 34 weeks.
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Analysis & InsightJ.P. Morgan Cazenove on Marston’s and M&B
After strong outperformance in 2019, we are moving MARS and MAB to Neutral, from Overweight, as the current share prices have now “caught up” to reflect the fundamentals, in our estimation. MAB’s operational performance inflected during 2019, and MARS largely resolved fears around its leverage and dividend sustainability. In addition, ...
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Analysis & InsightBerenberg on City Pub Group
This morning, The City Pub Group (CPC) released a full-year trading update, noting that due to a series of largely one-off issues, 2019 earnings are expected to be modestly below prior expectations. While we only reduce our 2019 sales numbers by c1%, the impact of operational gearing means that our 2019 EPS forecasts come down by c12%. The impact on outer years is far more modest and we continue to believe in CPC’s expansion plans – so while we reduce our price target to 220p, we maintain our Buy rating.
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Analysis & InsightGoodbody on Whitbread
Whitbread - Thoughts into Q3 update, any confirmation of improving trends important
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Analysis & InsightJ.P. Morgan and Goodbody on Mitchells & Butlers
Robust Q120 LFL represents comparison-adjusted acceleration
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Analysis & Insight
Jamie Rollo on pubs under the new Government
UK pubs have been relatively resilient over the past few years, with industry LfL sales running up around 1%.
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Analysis & InsightHedge funds’ involvement a ‘statement of support’ for Pizza Express
The latest development in Pizza Express’s debt dilemma sees big name credit funds enter the frame.
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Analysis & Insight
Goodbody on Whitbread
Following the announcement of Whitbread’s H1 results, Rachel Fox, equity analyst at Goodbody gives her verdict.
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NewsAnalysts’ verdict: Goodbody on Domino’s
Domino’s decision to exit its international markets should be well received by investors, according to Rachel Fox, gaming and leisure analyst at Goodbody.
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