Less than 10% of operators are “very confident” they will reopen on 3 December, according to the latest Hospitality Leaders Poll carried out by Lumina Intelligence for MCA, the Morning Advertiser and Big Hospitality. 

A further 15% were “not sure at all”, though 33% are “fairly sure” they will reopen once the restrictions are lifted.

Meanwhile the industry is split over the future, with 32% thinking they will go bust if existing lockdown measures continue into Spring. While 38% are unsure, just 30% are confident they will survive as a business should things continue as they currently are.

Some 40% of operators say the second lockdown has been harder than the first, while 31% think it’s been easier and 29% think its been about the same.

Overall, 67% of operators expressed a level of confidence in the future of their business.

“Predicting the future is tough at the moment,” said one operator. “So many variables could occur in December. Clarity will be needed and the tier system clearly does not work for most of hospitality as soon as you go above the first tier. In many cases even food led businesses would be better off being closed. Further and greater government support is needed regardless.”

The poll spoke to 271 board level operators running pubs, restaurants and food to go operations.