Consumer spending will not return to its pre-recession peak until 2015, according to an economic think-tank. The National Institute for Economic and Social Research also said it thinks the economic recovery will be slower than the government believes. Data last week showed the economy grew by 1.1% in the second quarter, but the think-tank said public spending cuts were likely to create problems in the second half of the year. It predicted the economy would grow by 1.2% over 2010 as a whole, rising to 1.7% in 2011 and 2.2% in 2012. The government has pencilled in growth of 2.3% next year and 2.8% in 2012. Simon Kirby, a research fellow at the institute, said: "Our view is that the second half of the year will be quite weak. “Government spending will be detracting from growth rather than adding to it as it has been in recent quarters."